Is the Interserve share price the bargain of the year?

Could Interserve plc (LON: IRV) deliver high returns due to its low valuation?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

While the stock market continues to trade at relatively high levels, a number of stocks still offer extremely low valuations. This could be because they are unpopular among investors, or are expected to face difficult futures. Either way, there could be opportunities on offer for value investors.

One example of a cheap stock at the present time is support services and construction company Interserve (LSE: IRV). It has faced a difficult recent past, with its profitability coming under severe pressure. After a fall in its valuation of 63% in the last year, could it now represent the bargain of 2018?

Challenging outlook

While Interserve is expected to report its second consecutive year of profit declines for 2017, things could go from bad to worse. Amidst difficult trading conditions, the company is forecast to post a fall in its bottom line of 39% in the 2018 financial year. This could hurt investor confidence – especially since its earnings forecasts have been downgraded in recent months.

Looking ahead, trading conditions within the UK outsourcing and construction space are expected to remain tough. This could lead to a further downgrade in the company’s financial outlook and cause its share price to come under additional pressure.

Turnaround prospects

Despite the risks that Interserve faces, it is still expected to deliver a successful turnaround. In the 2019 financial year its bottom line is forecast to rise by 12%, which could have a positive impact on its valuation. And since it trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 4.5, it appears to offer a wide margin of safety at the present time.

Certainly, there are less risky investments available right now and the prospects for the company are difficult to predict. However, with such a low valuation and the expectation of a turnaround as the company delivers on its efficiency programme, it could prove to be a worthwhile buy for less risk-averse investors.

Improving performance

One company operating in a similar space to Interserve which has been able to deliver significantly improved performance is Balfour Beatty (LSE: BBY). It reported a number of profit warnings and has experienced difficulties with legacy issues. However, it has moved from loss to profit and is now expected to report bottom line growth of 28% in the next financial year.

This has the potential to catalyse investor sentiment and send the company’s share price higher after what has been a challenging three months for investors. The company’s shares have moved 10% lower and this means that they now trade on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.4, which suggests that they could deliver improving levels of capital return.

Since Balfour Beatty has international exposure, it may be able to offer improving financial performance even if the UK economy’s prospects are downgraded. While risky and still not fully recovered after a difficult past, the stock appears to offer a favourable risk/reward ratio.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

£8 per year in extra income for life, for each £100 invested today? Here’s how!

Christopher Ruane explains how he would aim to set up extra income streams for the rest of his life by…

Read more »

Photo of a man going through financial problems
Investing Articles

With a £20K Stocks and Shares ISA, I’d target £1,964 in annual dividends like this

With an annual passive income target close to £2,000, our writer explains how he'd put a £20K Stocks and Shares…

Read more »

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Down 63% in 2024, what’s going on with the Avacta (AVCT) share price?

2024 has been a difficult year for many companies in the biotechnology sector, with the AVCT share price down heavily.…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d invest £800 the Warren Buffett way!

Christopher Ruane learns some lessons from super-investor Warren Buffett he hopes could improve his own stock market performance.

Read more »

British Isles on nautical map
Investing Articles

Michael Burry just bought 175,000 shares in this FTSE 100 company

Scion Asset Management announced a $6.5bn stake in BP this week. But what could Michael Burry be seeing in an…

Read more »

Young Asian woman holding a cup of takeaway coffee and folders containing paperwork, on her way into the office
Investing Articles

£5,000 in savings? Here’s how I’d aim to start making powerful passive income today

With a cash lump sum to invest, this Fool lays out how he'd start making passive income. He also details…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Just released: our 3 top small-cap stocks to consider buying before June [PREMIUM PICKS]

Small-cap shares tend to be more volatile than larger companies, so we suggest investors should look to build up a…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

My best FTSE 250 stock to consider buying now for passive income while it’s near 168p

This is a rare stock with a growing underlying business and a fat dividend yield – it’s worth consideration for…

Read more »